Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 14, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
El Nacional2 - 1Blooming
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between El Nacional and Blooming.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Blooming had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Blooming win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Nacional | Draw | Blooming |
49.59% ( -0.3) | 24.95% ( 0.05) | 25.46% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
