Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad2 - 1Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Club Libertad 0-0 Nacional
Nacional are already guaranteed a spot in the knockout phase, while it would take a lot for Libertad to miss out on the Sudamericana. With little to play for, we anticipate this will be a cagey affair between two sides that do not want to risk losing a key player to injury. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.
Result | ||
Club Libertad | Draw | Nacional |
41.65% ( 0.1) | 26.41% ( 0.29) | 31.95% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 52% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.37% ( -1.29) | 52.63% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( -1.11) | 74.28% ( 1.11) |
Club Libertad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.53) | 24.97% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( -0.73) | 59.62% ( 0.73) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( -0.9) | 30.69% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( -1.08) | 66.94% ( 1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Club Libertad 41.64%
Nacional 31.95%
Draw 26.41%
Club Libertad | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.95% |
How you voted: Libertad vs Nacional
Club Libertad
41.2%Draw
35.3%Nacional
23.5%17
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Nacional
2-0
Libertad
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 19:13:42
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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