Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
May 4, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional4 - 2Racing
Galeano (8'), Bentancourt (43' og.), Izquierdo (79'), Santander (90+1' pen.)
Castro (35'), Oliva (57'), Izquierdo (68'), Veron (79')
Castro (35'), Oliva (57'), Izquierdo (68'), Veron (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Veron (12'), Mederos (87')
Quinonez (30'), Magallanes (47'), Veron (71'), Varela (86')
Magallanes (89')
Quinonez (30'), Magallanes (47'), Veron (71'), Varela (86')
Magallanes (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 1-2 Nacional
Sunday, April 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Fenix
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
57.78% ( -1.04) | 23.14% ( 0.02) | 19.08% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( 1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
