Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
Independiente1 - 1Defensa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 54.37% | 23.85% | 21.77% |
| Both teams to score 51.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
