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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
America Mineiro

Tolima
2 - 2
America Mineiro

Plata (40'), Rangel (43')
Moya (26')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Marlon (7'), Maidana (27' pen.)
Maidana (45+4'), Juninho (65'), Pedrinho (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportes Tolima and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

America Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Deportes Tolima 2-0 America Mineiro

 With potential qualification as the motivation, the home side should prove to be too strong for Mineiro, who have failed to get off the ground in the Copa Libertadores. Tolima will need to go into that final group game next week full of confidence, so they should collect all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawAmerica Mineiro
40.21% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 34.13% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.94% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.02 -0.02)71.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)24.05% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (-0.055 -0.05)58.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)62.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 40.21%
    America Mineiro 34.13%
    Draw 25.65%
Deportes TolimaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.21%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.13%

How you voted: Tolima vs America Mineiro

Deportes Tolima
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
America Mineiro
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2022 11pm
America Mineiro
2-3
Tolima
Pedrinho (53'), Hernandez (77' og.)
Eder (21'), Kal (49')
Plata (66', 90+5'), Quinones (86')
Rovira (19'), Caicedo (21'), Marulanda (35')
rhs 2.0
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