An encounter as closely-fought as the standings would suggest should be in store on Tuesday, as Quito are ostensibly enjoying the new manager bounce but are still finding their feet under Hurtado's leadership. The free-scoring Ache can certainly make an inconsistent Universitario tremble, but the Peruvian champions have found a streak of defensive resilience and can hold out for the draw required to save their continental bacon in the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Universitario
50.52% ( 0)	26.15%	23.33% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55% (

-0)

56.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55%

77.45% (

-0)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

22.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

55.93% (

-0.01)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.33% (

-0)

39.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.65% (

-0)

76.35% (

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 50.52%

Universitario 23.33%

Draw 26.14%

LDU Quito	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.52%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.33%