Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo2 - 1LDU Quito
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and LDU Quito.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Bahia
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | LDU Quito |
52.74% ( -0.11) | 24.63% ( 0.06) | 22.62% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
