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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Universitario
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental
Botafogo logo

Universitario
0 - 1
Botafogo


Di Benedetto (43'), Urena (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jeffinho (17')
da Silva (76'), Bastos (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universitario and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

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Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Junior
Wednesday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Universitario 2-1 Botafogo

 Given the stakes of Thursday's match, we expect Universitario and Botafogo to take the game to each other in search of all three points. Universitario have been near-impenetrable on home turf and we see them coming away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
UniversitarioDrawBotafogo
52.11% (-0.335 -0.34) 25.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 22.19% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 46.79% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.089999999999996 0.09)55.81% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.073 0.07)76.93% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (-0.104 -0.1)21.47% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.163 -0.16)54.49% (0.168 0.17)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (0.34 0.34)40.42% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (0.308 0.31)77.03% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 52.11%
    Botafogo 22.19%
    Draw 25.69%
UniversitarioDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 22.19%

How you voted: Universitario vs Botafogo

Universitario
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Botafogo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Botafogo
3-1
Universitario
Eduardo (47', 90+2'), Henrique (57')
John (59'), Hugo (79')
Olivares (90+4')
Saravia (16'), Valera (45'), Perez (45+3'), Celi (75')
rhs 2.0
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