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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
34.08% ( 0.3) | 24.96% ( 0.04) | 40.96% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( -0.1) | 45.83% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( -0.1) | 68.14% ( 0.1) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.13) | 26% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.17) | 61.02% ( -0.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.21) | 22.31% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.31) | 55.78% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
10 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 38 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Portsmouth | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
21 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
22 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 21 |
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