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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras
0 - 0
Atletico Mineiro


Gomez (58'), Ferreira (79'), Dudu (88')
Danilo (29'), Scarpa (82')
FT

Zaracho (52'), Arana (73'), Silva (78'), Vargas (85'), Hulk (88')
Vargas (90+6')
Palmeiras win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Goias
Sunday, August 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-3 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 7 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro

 Atletico Mineiro will give it their all, but we expect Palmeiras to record a narrow victory with home advantage on their side. The hosts are in irrepressible form right now and their big game-winning experience is unrivalled having won this competition twice in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Mineiro
46.28% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09) 24.83% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 28.9% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)47.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)69.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)20.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)52.97% (0.073 0.07)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.043000000000006 0.04)30.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.052999999999997 0.05)66.25% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 46.28%
    Atletico Mineiro 28.9%
    Draw 24.82%
PalmeirasDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 28.9%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras
69.6%
Draw
17.4%
Atletico Mineiro
13.0%
46
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
2-2
Palmeiras
Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')
Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro

Menino (37')

Mariano (33'), Fernandez (37'), Otavio (70')
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Wesley (28'), Deyverson (57')
Rocha (18'), Menino (38'), Renan (39'), Deyverson (58')
Zaracho (36'), Hulk (61')
Costa (39'), Fernandez (45+4'), Alonso (54')
Sep 29, 2021 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Vargas (52')
Silva (28')
Dudu (68')
Rocha (64'), Garcia (69'), Weverton (70'), Melo (88')
Sep 22, 2021 1.30am
Palmeiras
0-0
Atletico Mineiro

Rafael (81')

Zaracho (23')
rhs 2.0
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