Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 21, 2022 at 11pm UK

Cuiaba
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Pirani (90+9')
Camilo (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kardec (90+4')
Pavon (58'), Mohamed (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Fluminense	18	8	31
4	Atletico Mineiro	17	8	31
5	Athletico Paranaense	18	6	31

We said: Cuiaba 0-2 Atletico Mineiro

While Cuiaba have certainly shown encouraging signs recently, putting together back-to-back wins and pushing the league leaders close, we do not see them having enough to match the defending champions on Thursday. With their sights set on top spot, Atletico Mineiro will be keen to post another three-point haul and should outclass their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
29.03% ( 0.11)	28.25% ( 0.01)	42.73% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.56% (

-0)

60.43% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.43% (

-0)

80.57% (

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06% (

0.09)

36.93% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28% (

0.09)

73.72% (

-0.09)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

-0.07)

28.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

-0.09)

63.65% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 29.02%

Atletico Mineiro 42.72%

Draw 28.24%

Cuiaba	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.02%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.72%