Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras

(agg: -)

Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Internacional	20	10	33
7	Atletico Mineiro	20	4	32
8	Bragantino	20	8	30

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	20	19	42
2	Corinthians	20	6	38
3	Fluminense	20	9	35

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

There is little doubt which team heads into this clash in superior form, with Palmeiras seriously on a roll at the moment. The 2020 and 2021 Copa Libertadores champions will be highly motivated to retain their title once again, even if the hosts represent dangerous opposition on their day, especially with Cuca back at the helm. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
45.03% ( 0.11)	25.34% ( 0.02)	29.62% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.32% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

-0.16)

49.13% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

-0.14)

71.2% (

0.14)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

-0.02)

21.81% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98% (

-0.02)

55.02% (

0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

-0.18)

30.53% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

-0.21)

66.75% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.02%

Palmeiras 29.62%

Draw 25.34%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.62%