MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:09:49| >> :600:8802928:8802928:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Hulk (45+1' pen.), Cerqueira (47' og.)
Jair (49'), Mariano (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cerqueira (59'), Danilo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

There is little doubt which team heads into this clash in superior form, with Palmeiras seriously on a roll at the moment. The 2020 and 2021 Copa Libertadores champions will be highly motivated to retain their title once again, even if the hosts represent dangerous opposition on their day, especially with Cuca back at the helm. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
45.03% (0.113 0.11) 25.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 29.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.157 -0.16)49.13% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.14 -0.14)71.2% (0.137 0.14)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.02% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-0.179 -0.18)30.53% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)66.75% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 45.02%
    Palmeiras 29.62%
    Draw 25.34%
Atletico MineiroDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
20.9%
Draw
16.3%
Palmeiras
62.8%
43
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Wesley (28'), Deyverson (57')
Rocha (18'), Menino (38'), Renan (39'), Deyverson (58')
Zaracho (36'), Hulk (61')
Costa (39'), Fernandez (45+4'), Alonso (54')
Sep 29, 2021 1.30am
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Palmeiras
Vargas (52')
Silva (28')
Dudu (68')
Rocha (64'), Garcia (69'), Weverton (70'), Melo (88')
Sep 22, 2021 1.30am
Aug 14, 2021 11pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!