Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.
-0.21) 
0.38) 
