Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón
Racing2 - 1Cristal
Jose Caceres (13'), Chancalay (83')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
Orban (48')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
Orban (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 56.51% | 24.23% | 19.26% |
| Both teams to score 46.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% | 75.05% |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% | 18.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.76% | 50.24% |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| Score Analysis |
Racing Club 56.51%
Sporting Cristal 19.26%
Draw 24.22%
| Racing Club | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
How you voted: Racing vs Cristal
Racing Club
81.8%Draw
9.1%Sporting Cristal
9.1%11
