Copa Libertadores | First Round
Mar 3, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
U. Catolica3 - 0Liverpool
Manuel Tevez (37'), Chala (44'), De Los Santos (74')
Alzugaray (8'), De Los Santos (31'), Chala (59')
Alzugaray (8'), De Los Santos (31'), Chala (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Perez (67'), Fernandez (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Liverpool.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Liverpool |
| 48.77% | 26.42% | 24.8% |
| Both teams to score 47.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
