Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.