Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.28%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolivar in this match.