MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:10:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Gremio

Athletico PR
0 - 2
Gremio


Gamarra (17'), Cuello (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martins (18'), Monsalve (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Gremio
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-2 Gremio

While Gremio continue to battle the drop and have a very poor away record this season, they have begun to show signs of life in recent weeks, and we feel they will continue their upward trajectory by claiming a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
53.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 25.01% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 21.25% (0.155 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (-0.132 -0.13)54.2% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39% (-0.112 -0.11)75.61% (0.107 0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.148 -0.15)20.15% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (-0.236 -0.24)52.43% (0.232 0.23)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.54% (0.085000000000001 0.09)40.46% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)77.07% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 53.73%
    Gremio 21.25%
    Draw 25%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Gremio

Athletico Paranaense
48.3%
Draw
41.4%
Gremio
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 2
Gremio
2-0
Athletico PR
Cristaldo (19'), Soteldo (51')
Nunes (71')

Santana (33'), Vitor (59'), Esquivel (71')
Oct 18, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
1-2
Athletico PR
Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo28176546252157
2PalmeirasPalmeiras28175646202656
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro269983638-236
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2889113438-433
12JuventudeJuventude2889113238-633
13Gremio2795132934-532
14CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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