Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno1 - 1Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Athletico Paranaense
It has been over two weeks since Porteno last played in a competitive game, and given the long layoff, we expect it may take them a while to find a foothold in this one. Paranaense do not seem to be phased with these knockout fixtures, and we expect them to eventually find a breakthrough against what could be a pesky backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
33.35% ( 0.31) | 27.6% ( 0.15) | 39.06% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
