MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:40:26| >> :60:48:48:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Gilberto Parada
Independiente

Guabira
1 - 3
Independiente

Pascua (89')
Mercado (22'), Pascua (67'), Supayabe (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Herrera (8', 35', 52')
Herrera (24'), Roa (30')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guabira and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
GuabiraDrawIndependiente
43.25%23.53%33.22%
Both teams to score 62.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31%61.68%
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44%18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19%49.81%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58%57.42%
Score Analysis
    Guabira 43.25%
    Independiente 33.22%
    Draw 23.52%
GuabiraDrawIndependiente
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.22%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.22%

rhs 2.0
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5Bournemouth25127644291543
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7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
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12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
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