MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:36:56| >> :60:310:310:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Corinthians

Newell's OB
0 - 0
Corinthians


Gomez (20'), Glavinovich (58'), Ferreira (76'), Sordo (87')
FT

Fagner (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Newell's Old Boys and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Newell's OB
Wednesday, August 2 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Corinthians
Saturday, August 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Corinthians

 While Corinthians did manage to secure a crucial home win in the first leg, they were far from convincing and could find themselves in a very closely-contested battle in this one. We expect the Argentine side to find the net at least once in the match, but the visitors should make it through to the next round, albeit by a very slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawCorinthians
50.13% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 28.45% (0.023 0.02) 21.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.12% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.69% (-0.052 -0.05)65.3% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.89% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)84.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)26.53% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)61.73% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.24% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)46.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)82.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 50.11%
    Corinthians 21.42%
    Draw 28.44%
Newell's Old BoysDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 16.45% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.42%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Corinthians

Newell's Old Boys
44.4%
Draw
55.6%
Corinthians
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Corinthians
2-1
Newell's OB
Alberto (57' pen.), Gassova (65')
Murillo (45+2'), Gassova (67'), Ruan (71')
Portillo (45+4')
Eduardo Recalde (45+2'), Mansilla (54'), Martino (70'), Sforza (90+1')
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