Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.