Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 6, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio George Capwell
Emelec2 - 0Macara
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Emelec and Macara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Macara had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Macara win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Macara |
| 40.76% | 24.23% | 35% |
| Both teams to score 60.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
