Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.