Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara3 - 1Wilstermann
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Jorge Wilstermann.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Jorge Wilstermann |
| 41.19% | 23.69% | 35.12% |
| Both teams to score 62.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
