MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:13:13| >> :60:75:75:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
San Lorenzo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Calleri (45'), Luciano (67')
Junior (0'), Neves (29'), Luciano (36'), Maia (45+4'), Alisson (74'), Nestor (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bareiro (36'), Perez (59'), Giay (66'), Hernandez (87'), Hernandez (87')
Insua (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Sao Paulo 2-0 San Lorenzo (Sao Paulo to advance 2-1 on aggregate)

 Although they are not at the top of their game right now, Dorival Junior always seems to push the right buttons to get his teams out of a slump, and having been in a similar position in the semi-finals last year should serve as a nice reminder that the current deficit they are faced with is far from insurmountable. San Lorenzo have not been as tidy or organised defensively away from home, and we believe they will leave some gaps for Sao Paulo to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao PauloDrawSan Lorenzo
58.22% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54) 25.8% (0.336 0.34) 15.97% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 37.59% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.11% (-0.73 -0.73)62.89% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.61% (-0.534 -0.53)82.38% (0.535 0.53)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.523 -0.52)21.84% (0.525 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.803 -0.8)55.07% (0.806 0.81)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.1% (-0.147 -0.15)51.9% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.06% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)85.94% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 58.21%
    San Lorenzo 15.97%
    Draw 25.8%
Sao PauloDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 17.24% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.21%
0-0 @ 11.33% (0.3 0.3)
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 3.71% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs San Lorenzo

Sao Paulo
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
San Lorenzo
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
San Lorenzo
1-0
Sao Paulo
Bareiro (51')

Nestor (23'), Arboleda (33'), Araujo (75'), David (90+3')
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