Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 0Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 2-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, July 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Brasileiro
We said: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sao Paulo
With Sao Paulo not conceding in six group games and San Lorenzo keeping two shutouts in the playoff round, goals may not be a regular occurrence in this tie. Nevertheless, we are backing the visitors to edge a tight game, giving them an advantage ahead of the reverse fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
31.98% ( -0.01) | 29.64% ( 0) | 38.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
