Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians2 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Corinthians and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Sao Paulo |
37.84% ( -1.34) | 27.83% ( 0.39) | 34.33% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.31% ( -1.35) | 57.69% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.56% ( -1.08) | 78.45% ( 1.08) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -1.43) | 29.46% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.54% ( -1.79) | 65.46% ( 1.79) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.05) | 31.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.06) | 68.07% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Corinthians 37.83%
Sao Paulo 34.33%
Draw 27.83%
| Corinthians | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.33% |
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 8pm
Sep 11, 2022 8pm
Oct 19, 2021 12am
Jul 1, 2021 1.30am
Form Guide
