Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal Nicolas Chahuan Nazar
Union La Calera0 - 1Alianza Petrolera
Romo (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Figueroa (72' pen.)
Castillo (31'), Franco (45')
Castillo (31'), Franco (45')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union La Calera and Alianza Petrolera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, May 17 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 17 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Alianza Petrolera win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union La Calera | Draw | Alianza Petrolera |
46.17% ( 0.74) | 26.61% ( 0) | 27.22% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
