Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
U. Catolica0 - 0Alianza Petrolera
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Alianza Petrolera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: U. Catolica 4-0 Union La Calera
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 0-3 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 3-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Alianza Petrolera |
73.97% ( 0.26) | 16.8% ( -0.34) | 9.22% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
