Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Alianza Petrolera0 - 3Cruzeiro
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Cruzeiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Petrolera | Draw | Cruzeiro |
18.14% ( -0.42) | 25.65% ( -0) | 56.2% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( -0.48) | 59.84% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% ( -0.37) | 80.12% ( 0.36) |
| Alianza Petrolera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.8) | 47.25% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.32% ( -0.6) | 82.67% ( 0.6) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.02) | 21.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.58% ( -0.03) | 54.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Alianza Petrolera 18.14%
Cruzeiro 56.2%
Draw 25.64%
| Alianza Petrolera | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.14% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 15.59% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.01% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 56.2% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
