Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Alianza Petrolera1 - 3U. Catolica
Batalla (8')
Meza (22'), Franco (29')
Meza (22'), Franco (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-3 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union La Calera 0-1 U. Catolica
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Petrolera | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
29.48% ( -0.09) | 26.87% ( 0.01) | 43.65% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
