Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 2Cittadella
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Empoli and Cittadella.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Como
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Cittadella |
32.29% ( -0.29) | 25.47% ( 0.16) | 42.24% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
