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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Lazio logo

Empoli
0 - 2
Lazio


Akpa-Akpro (14'), Cambiaghi (37')
Cambiaghi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Romagnoli (48'), Alberto (90+2')
Milinkovic-Savic (40'), Vecino (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, May 28 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-2 Lazio

Lazio have only lost four times on the road this term, so there is every chance of the Aquile soaring to victory in Empoli - which is no mean feat, given the hosts' recent results there: Sarri's side can score from several sources and also boast the second-best defensive record in Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawLazio
28.04% (2.019 2.02) 26.71% (1.081 1.08) 45.25% (-3.101 -3.1)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-1.704 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-2.943 -2.94)55.39% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-2.472 -2.47)76.59% (2.472 2.47)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (0.058999999999997 0.06)34.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (0.063999999999997 0.06)71.73% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6% (-2.692 -2.69)24.4% (2.693 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18% (-3.952 -3.95)58.81% (3.953 3.95)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 28.04%
    Lazio 45.24%
    Draw 26.71%
EmpoliDrawLazio
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.988 0.99)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.253 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.526 0.53)
3-1 @ 2.33% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.04%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.929 0.93)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.195 -0.19)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.386 -0.39)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.545 -0.55)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.526 -0.53)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.317 -0.32)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%

How you voted: Empoli vs Lazio

Empoli
15.6%
Draw
19.5%
Lazio
64.9%
77
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
gameweek 17
Lazio
2-2
Empoli
Anderson (2'), Zaccagni (54')
Caputo (83'), Marin (90+3')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 20
Lazio
3-3
Empoli
Immobile (14'), Milinkovic-Savic (66', 90+3')
Felipe (18'), Pedro (52'), Marusic (62'), Alberto (71')
Bajrami (6' pen.), Zurkowski (8'), Di Francesco (75')
Parisi (10'), Marchizza (33'), Luperto (86'), Bandinelli (90+5')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 1
Empoli
1-3
Lazio
Bandinelli (4')
Stojanovic (38'), Ismajli (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Lazzari (31'), Immobile (41' pen.)
Leiva (29')
Feb 7, 2019 7.30pm
gameweek 23
Lazio
1-0
Empoli
Caicedo (42' pen.)
Neto (90')

Acquah (90')
Sep 16, 2018 5pm
gameweek 4
Empoli
0-1
Lazio

Silvestre (7'), Bennacer (34')
Parolo (47')
Parolo (42'), Durmisi (80'), Marusic (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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