We say: Inter Milan 3-2 Empoli
With nothing to lose, Empoli may be able to rediscover the enterprising brand of football which elevated them to Serie A status and then upset a number of established members of the top flight late last year.
However, Inter's squad is the deepest in Italy, and even a second-string Nerazzurri XI will contain sufficient pace, power and goal threat to seal safe passage through to the last eight.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-2 (4.18%).