Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
1 - 1
Empoli

Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Despite their contrasting positions in the table, respect must be given to Spezia's recent return on home territory. Nevertheless, Empoli have been fantastic for a large period of the campaign, and we are predicting another three points for Andreazzoli's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Empoli
33.92%	25.28%	40.81%

Both teams to score 56.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69%

47.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47%

69.53%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2%

26.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91%

62.09%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97%

23.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15%

56.85%

Score Analysis

Spezia 33.92%

Empoli 40.81%

Draw 25.27%

Spezia	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.81%