Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
71.71% | 17.13% | 11.16% |
Both teams to score 50.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.92% | 39.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.59% | 61.4% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.39% | 9.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.88% | 32.12% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.34% | 44.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.34% | 80.66% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-0 @ 11.77% 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7.41% 4-0 @ 5.38% 4-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.75% 6-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.78% Total : 71.71% | 1-1 @ 8.1% 0-0 @ 4.29% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.13% | 0-1 @ 3.46% 1-2 @ 3.27% 0-2 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.01% Total : 11.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |