Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
23.13% | 22.44% | 54.43% |
Both teams to score 58.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.58% | 41.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.18% | 63.82% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% | 31.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% | 67.91% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.82% | 15.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.21% | 43.79% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.13% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |