Sampdoria

0 - 1

Roma

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.