COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Lesotho1 - 3Angola
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Angola.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Namibia 2-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 1 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Monday, July 1 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 3-2 Seychelles
Monday, July 1 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Monday, July 1 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 35%. A win for Angola had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (12.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Angola |
35% ( 1.46) | 30.04% ( -0.78) | 34.95% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( 2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
