World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Orlando Stadium

Zimbabwe
0 - 2
Lesotho

Hadebe (7'), Mbeba (50'), Rinomhota (62'), Munetsi (64')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rasethuntsa (21'), Thaba-Ntso (31')
Mats'oele (44'), Malane (70'), Sefali (75'), Thaba-Ntso (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zimbabwe and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Lesotho

Last Game: Ethiopia 2-1 Lesotho
Sunday, March 24 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Despite the difficulties faced in recent years, Zimbabwe still possess a star-studded squad that features players players that apply their trade in some of the best clubs in Africa and Europe. The Brave Warriors have yet to win a match in this competition but looked impressive when taking points of powerhouses Rwanda and Nigeria in the last two games. This should be an intriguing contest but we feel Zimbabwe will manage to notch up their first victory of these qualifiers in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	Lesotho
22.1% ( -0.8)	25.72% ( -0.8)	52.18% ( 1.61)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

2.14)

55.97% (

-2.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

1.71)

77.06% (

-1.71)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.4% (

0.43)

40.6% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.81% (

0.38)

77.19% (

-0.38)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

1.6)

21.5% (

-1.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.45% (

2.4)

54.55% (

-2.39)

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 22.1%

Lesotho 52.17%

Draw 25.71%

Zimbabwe	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.1%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.75) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 10.31% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.21) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.17%