Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.7%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.43%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.