Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier0 - 0Lille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 0-4 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lille
Montpellier have endured a mixed start to 2024, but we believe that Sunday's hosts are very capable of securing a result against Lille in this one. Les Dogues are unbeaten so far in the new calendar year, and we feel that run will continue at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
21.72% ( -0.03) | 23.97% ( -0.01) | 54.3% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.01) | 49.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.02) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.02) | 37.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.02) | 74.17% ( 0.02) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( 0.02) | 18.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.82% ( 0.04) | 49.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 21.72%
Lille 54.3%
Draw 23.97%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.3% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lille
Montpellier HSC
21.9%Draw
28.1%Lille
50.0%32
