Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lens |
42.92% ( 0) | 27.76% | 29.32% |
Both teams to score 46.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.37% | 58.63% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% | 79.18% ( 0) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( 0) | 27.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( 0) | 62.42% ( 0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.27% | 35.73% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% | 72.5% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |