Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Angers
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
We said: Brest 2-1 Montpellier HSC
Brest's form to finish 2023 was phenomenal, and they have an excellent opportunity to pick up where they left off with a home clash here against a Montpellier side who have flattered to deceive this season. With many players away at AFCON and the Asian Cup too, Montpellier may have a tricky few weeks ahead, and despite the two incredible results on their last two visits here, that trend may end this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
53.36% ( 0.25) | 24.18% ( -0.06) | 22.46% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 0.06) | 49.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.05) | 71.73% ( -0.05) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.12) | 18.57% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.16% ( 0.2) | 49.83% ( -0.2) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% ( -0.14) | 36.72% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.49% ( -0.14) | 73.51% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 53.35%
Montpellier HSC 22.46%
Draw 24.18%
| Brest | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.46% |
How you voted: Brest vs Montpellier
Brest
71.4%Draw
23.8%Montpellier HSC
4.8%21
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
1-3
Brest
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
