DFB-Pokal | First Round

Jul 31, 2022 at 5.01pm UK

W. Mannheim
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Baxter Bahn (55')

Komenda (30'), Sander (32'), Arp (65'), Wolf (91'), Okyere Wriedt (111')

W. Mannheim win 5-3 on penalties

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Waldhof Mannheim and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Waldhof Mannheim

Last Game: W. Mannheim 1-3 Union Berlin
Wednesday, October 27 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waldhof Mannheim win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waldhof Mannheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Waldhof Mannheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
39.22% ( -0.53)	24.62% ( -0.08)	36.15% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 59.05% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

0.45)

43.96% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

0.44)

66.34% (

-0.44)

Waldhof Mannheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

-0.06)

22.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16% (

-0.09)

55.83% (

0.09)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05% (

0.55)

23.95% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.82% (

0.77)

58.18% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Waldhof Mannheim 39.22%

Holstein Kiel 36.15%

Draw 24.62%

Waldhof Mannheim	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.22%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.62%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.15%