MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:29:26| >> :600:1786643:1786643:
Wolfsburg
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Hoffenheim logo

Wolfsburg
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Vavro (63'), Wind (67'), Gerhardt (85')
Arnold (14'), Dardai (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kramaric (66'), Baumann (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 3-1 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim's away record is concerning, and the fact that they have continued to lose despite the arrival of a new manager suggests that many of their issues on the pitch are extensive and not so easily resolved. It is hard to overlook Wolfsburg's exceptional form of late and if they can replicate their last performance, then it would not be surprising if they scored multiple goals on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawHoffenheim
39.44% (0.404 0.4) 24.53% (0.126 0.13) 36.02% (-0.537 -0.54)
Both teams to score 59.39% (-0.516 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)43.51% (0.641 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.64 -0.64)65.91% (0.633 0.63)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)22.04% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.125 -0.13)55.37% (0.117 0.12)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.583 -0.58)23.81% (0.578 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-0.845 -0.84)57.98% (0.839 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 39.44%
    Hoffenheim 36.02%
    Draw 24.53%
WolfsburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 6% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.44%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.146 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim

Wolfsburg
87.5%
Draw
8.8%
Hoffenheim
3.8%
80
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Wolfsburg
2-2
Hoffenheim
Majer (58', 70' pen.)
Jenz (90+2'), Majer (90+6')
Beier (6'), Promel (66')
Kabak (57'), Nsoki (69'), Brooks (90+2')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Hoffenheim
3-1
Wolfsburg
Brooks (45+2'), Beier (60'), Skov (74')
Weghorst (10'), Bebou (25')
Tomas (36')
Maehle (43'), Svanberg (75')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Wolfsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Kaminski (15'), Waldschmidt (75')
Baku (31'), Guilavogui (49')
Guilavogui (90+3' og.)
Bebou (51'), Akpoguma (88')
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Hoffenheim
1-2
Wolfsburg
Kabak (45+4' og.), Baku (56')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Wolfsburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Wind (36')
Philipp (11')
Bruun Larsen (73'), Kramaric (78')
Bruun Larsen (87'), Raum (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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