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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35% ( -0.81) | 22.25% ( 0.05) | 42.75% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 67.83% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.55% ( -0.46) | 32.44% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.92% ( -0.53) | 54.08% ( 0.53) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% ( -0.59) | 19.28% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.98% ( -0.98) | 51.02% ( 0.98) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% ( 0.11) | 15.96% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% ( 0.19) | 45.26% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.81% Total : 42.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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