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Wolfsburg
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Dortmund

Wind (116')
Arnold (62'), Ozcan (114')
FT
(aet)

Nmecha (56'), Bynoe-Gittens (85'), Schlotterbeck (115'), Bensebaini (120')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Wolfsburg 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

BVB are in desperate need of a victory, but it is difficult to see them winning in a comfortable manner. It would not be surprising if Wolfsburg scored first, but given their poor home form, they may struggle to hold onto a lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%).

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
29.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 47.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.84% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)59.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55%16.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.14%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 29.78%
    Borussia Dortmund 47.29%
    Draw 22.93%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.15%
1-0 @ 5.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.78%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 5.58%
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.52%
0-4 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 47.29%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
16.7%
Draw
11.5%
Borussia Dortmund
71.9%
96
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Wolfsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Gerhardt (63')
Gerhardt (71'), Arnold (90+7'), Jenz (90+8')
Fullkrug (8')
Moukoko (90+8')
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Wolfsburg
Reus (68')

Cerny (24')
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 31
Dortmund
6-0
Wolfsburg
Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
rhs 2.0
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