Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
