Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.